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MathNet 2011 Question 80

Math Olympiad Vault · MathNet 2011

Question 80

In a one-player game, the player begins with $4m$ fair coins. On each of $m$ turns, the player takes 4 unused coins, flips 3 of them randomly to heads or tails, and then selects whether the 4th one is heads or tails (these four coins are then considered used). After $m$ turns, when the sides of all $4m$ coins have been determined, if half the coins are heads and half are tails, the player wins; otherwise, the player loses.

Prove that whenever the player must choose the side of a coin, the optimal strategy is to choose heads if more coins have been determined tails than heads and to choose tails if more coins have been determined heads than tails.