Skip to content / Đến nội dung
ThichHocToan.com

2014 AMC 10B Question 25

AMC10 · 2014 AMC 10B

Question 25

In a small pond there are eleven lily pads in a row labeled $0$ through $10.$ A frog is sitting on pad $1.$ When the frog is on pad $N,$ where $0 < N < 10,$ it will jump to pad $N-1$ with probability $\frac{N}{10}$ and to pad $N+1$ with probability $1-\frac{N}{10}.$ Each jump is independent of the previous jumps.

If the frog reaches pad $0$ it will be eaten by a patiently waiting snake. If the frog reaches pad $10$ it will exit the pond, never to return. What is the probability that the frog will escape without being eaten by the snake?
  1. $ \dfrac{32}{79} $
  2. $ \dfrac{161}{384} $
  3. $ \dfrac{63}{146} $
  4. $ \dfrac{7}{16} $
  5. $ \dfrac{1}{2} $