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MathNet 2004 — Part 03 Question 15

Math Olympiad Vault · MathNet 2004 — Part 03

Question 15

In a game similar to three card monte, the dealer places three cards on the table: the queen of spades and two red cards. The cards are placed in a row, and the queen starts in the center; the card configuration is thus $RQR$. The dealer proceeds to move. With each move, the dealer randomly switches the center card with one of the two edge cards (so the configuration after the first move is either $RRQ$ or $QRR$). What is the probability that, after $2004$ moves, the center card is the queen?