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SEAMO 2027 - Paper E - SET 10 - Self-study Question 16

SEAMO · SEAMO 2027 - Paper E - SET 10 - Self-study

Question 16

A jury of 12 people decides whether a defendant is guilty; an absolute majority is needed. Four will vote YES and three NO. Four others each toss a fair coin and vote according to the result. The last person votes with the majority. What is the probability of a guilty verdict?

Use independent fair coin tosses. The last juror follows the majority of the other eleven jurors.
  1. $\frac13$
  2. $\frac14$
  3. $\frac58$
  4. $\frac59$
  5. None of the above