Question 11
A frog sitting at the point $(1, 2)$ begins a sequence of jumps, where each jump is parallel to one of the coordinate axes and has length $1,$ and the direction of each jump (up, down, right, or left) is chosen independently at random. The sequence ends when the frog reaches a side of the square with vertices $(0, 0),$ $(0, 4),$ $(4, 4),$ and $(4, 0).$ What is the probability that the sequence of jumps ends on a vertical side of the square?