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2019 AMC 12B Question 16

AMC12 · 2019 AMC 12B

Question 16

There are lily pads in a row numbered $0$ to $11,$ in that order. There are predators on lily pads $3$ and $6,$ and a morsel of food on lily pad $10.$ Fiona the frog starts on pad $0,$ and from any given lily pad, has a $\dfrac12$ chance to hop to the next pad, and an equal chance to jump $2$ pads. What is the probability that Fiona reaches pad $10$ without landing on either pad $3$ or pad $6?$
  1. $\dfrac{15}{256}$
  2. $\dfrac{1}{16}$
  3. $\dfrac{15}{128}$
  4. $\dfrac{1}{8}$
  5. $\dfrac{1}{4}$