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Australian AMC 2020 - Senior Question 13

AMC AUSTRALIA · Australian AMC 2020 - Senior

Question 13

In Paradise, all days are either fine or wet.
If today is fine, the probability of tomorrow being fine is $\frac34$.
If today is wet, the probability of tomorrow being fine is $\frac13$.
Today is Friday and it is fine. I am having a BBQ on Sunday. What is the probability that it will be fine on Sunday?
  1. $\frac{25}{48}$
  2. $\frac{29}{48}$
  3. $\frac23$
  4. $\frac34$
  5. $\frac{31}{48}$